60% Chance of Isolated Showers/Storms
A few pockets of convection ignited in the Peach State, resulting in a few isolated showers and storms. The Athens Ben Epps Airport managed to see 0.01 inches of rainfall, but most of the activity remained along and south of I-20. Though we missed out on most of the rain, clouds still lingered around, which gave us a high of 93°F, which is better than the temperatures that we have seen over the last few days. A humid air mass will stay in place for Tuesday, meaning that our chances for rain return. Read below to find out more!
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a 40% chance of showers and storms before midnight. Storms could produce heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and small hail. Southwesterly wind around 5 mph. Low near 73°F.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, with a 60% chance of showers and storms. Storms could produce heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and small hail. Calm wind. High near 92°F.
Showers and storms continue to roar in various places around Georgia. The action should settle down more as the sun sets. We have the chance to see a stray shower or storm between now and midnight. If something does hit Athens or northeast Georgia, we could possibly see heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and small hail. The good news is that severe weather isn’t expected. Even better news is that I think most of us should stay dry tonight. Our friends along and south of I-20 have the best chances at seeing some rain.
We should wake up to temperatures in the lower 70s. Thanks to the very moist atmosphere, patchy fog could develop before the sun rises, especially along the back-roads. If you’re going to be out driving during the wee hours of the morning, keep this in mind and be careful. The fog should erode away by around 9 a.m. EDT or so. The rain forecast for Tuesday appears to be rather tricky. There is a shortwave trough currently around the Louisiana-Mississippi border. This trough should be moving east into our neck of the woods by the morning hours. This could sprout a few showers during the morning hours. However, the short-range weather forecast models are not really picking up on this possibility at this time. Should this trough and its associated convection stay “healthy” as it moves near our area, we’ll see greater chances for rain. However, if this trough and convection die off during the overnight hours, we’ll see less rain as a result. If we see rain in the morning, we could see lower high temperatures in the afternoon as a result. Morning rain would also decrease the amount of instability in the atmosphere, meaning that we may not see as many storms in the afternoon.
- Overall, this is an unsure and tricky forecast.
- My gut tells me that we will see rain, which is why I went with a rather confident 60% chance.
- I would think that most of this rain should occur in the afternoon and evening hours. Our main concerns would be heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and small hail. However, severe weather is not likely.
- Rain could occur in the morning hours. Take a rain jacket and/or umbrella with you during your morning commute.
We’ll update all of all social media accounts accordingly if anything develops. Have a great Tuesday!
Weather Video of the Day
Scroll back up to the low temperature graphic that I put in the “Tonight’s Forecast” section. Do you see how there seems to be a “hot spot” of warmer temperatures in and around Atlanta? This phenomenon is known as the “urban heat island”, and it is relatively common in large cities such as Atlanta, Columbia, and Phoenix. For more information about urban heat islands, watch this video from NASA!