Chance of Afternoon Showers/Storms
We started the work week with a typical summer day in the Peach State. We woke up to a low of 69°F. The intervals of sunshine were interrupted by cloud cover, which then eventually gave way to showers and storms around lunchtime. The Athens Ben Epps Airport received 0.50 inches of rain. That rain-cooled air managed to give us a high temperature of only 85°F, which is six degrees below average for early July. With Monday in the books, how does Independence Day look? Could we expect rain? If you’re trying to plan out your holiday, keep reading for the forecast!
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a 40% chance of showers and storms before midnight. Calm wind. Low near 69°F.
Tuesday (Independence Day): Partly sunny, with a 30% chance of showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours. Westerly wind around 5-10 mph. High near 91°F.
As we’ve seen lately, showers and storms should weaken as the sun sets because the atmosphere loses the energy that daytime heating provides. Above, you see the HRRR model, which is one of the short-range forecast models that we use. It has north Georgia decently wet in the evening hours. While this is possible, I don’t think this is likely. Current radar trends have us pretty dry. Overall, I think most of us will stay dry throughout the evening. The best chances for showers and storms should be to our west, north, and east. However, some of may see showers that could contain heavy rain, small hail, and frequent lightning. These chances should continue until midnight, where we’ll see partly cloudy skies.
As we celebrate our country’s freedom, the trend of heat and humidity will continue. We’ll start the day with patchy fog in a few places, but this should erode away by sunrise. Another upper-level disturbance is set to move through the Southeast. However, the good news is that it should sweep north of us. This means that folks in the mountains should have the best chance at seeing showers and storms. In fact, some severe storms could be possible, with heavy rainfall, damaging winds, and large hail being the main threats. Meanwhile, in our neck of the woods, we’ll deal with chances for showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours when there is plenty of daytime heating to go around. The plentiful moisture wouldn’t need much energy in order for showers and storms to initialize. If we were to see any showers and storms, it would most likely take place between 2-10 p.m. EDT. However, I expect most of us to stay dry. We should see more sunshine on Tuesday, which means that we could see high temperatures in the lower 90s. Have fun with family and friends, and be safe!
Weather Video of the Day
Here’s a torrential downpour of rain at Guntersville Lake in northern Alabama earlier today.
— Casey Edwards (@edardsATL) July 3, 2017